Utility load growth is back, but on different terms

Evergy now expects retail sales to grow 7% to 8% a year through 2030, up from its previous 6% forecast, with data centers driving much of the increase. According to Utility Dive’s reporting on the company’s first-quarter earnings call, the Kansas City-based utility has signed large-load electric service agreements totaling 2.5 GW, up from 1.9 GW disclosed just three months earlier.

That acceleration is significant because it captures one of the clearest shifts in the US power market: electricity demand from hyperscale digital infrastructure is no longer a distant planning scenario. It is beginning to reshape utility forecasts, generation plans, and capital allocation decisions in real time.

Evergy’s management said customers including Meta and Google are contributing to the growth outlook, while an additional unnamed customer has expanded the utility’s contracted large-load pipeline. The company also said it expects to sign at least one more large-load agreement this year and is in discussions that could further increase demand after 2030.

The growth story comes with a fossil-heavy response

The most consequential part of Evergy’s update may not be the higher sales forecast itself, but how the company plans to serve that demand. Utility Dive reported that Evergy has increased its planned gas-fired generation in Missouri to 4.7 GW. At the same time, it has reduced long-term planned wind and solar additions to 465 MW, down from 4,815 MW expected a year earlier.

That is a striking rebalancing. In simple terms, a utility facing fast data-center growth is leaning harder into gas and dramatically trimming future renewable additions. The shift does not necessarily mean renewables are disappearing from the mix, but it does show how load timing, system reliability concerns, and contracting realities can push utilities toward generation choices that look more conventional than many decarbonization road maps had anticipated.

This matters well beyond Evergy’s service territory. Utilities across the United States are now confronting the same question: if large-load customers want firm power on aggressive schedules, what resources can actually be built in time and integrated with confidence? Evergy’s answer, at least for now, points strongly toward natural gas.