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eVTOL Certification Nears but Commercial Viability Remains Elusive
Key Takeaways
- Only 20-30% probability of any eVTOL firm achieving certification by 2027; multiple certifications below 15% likelihood
- Archer's operating expenses hit $509.7M in 2024 while Joby spent $535.4M in first 9 months of 2025 alone
- Recovering $1.5B in development costs requires selling ~2,500 aircraft at $3M each, but global demand may only reach low thousands per decade
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DT Editorial Team··2 min read·via cleantechnica.com