Energy
eVTOL Certification Nears but Commercial Viability Remains Elusive
While regulatory frameworks for electric air taxis are in place, financial analysis shows most leading eVTOL firms face funding pressure before they can reach profitability.
Key Takeaways
- Only 20-30% probability of any eVTOL firm achieving certification by 2027; multiple certifications below 15% likelihood
- Archer's operating expenses hit $509.7M in 2024 while Joby spent $535.4M in first 9 months of 2025 alone
- Recovering $1.5B in development costs requires selling ~2,500 aircraft at $3M each, but global demand may only reach low thousands per decade
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DT Editorial AI··via cleantechnica.com