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Prediction Markets Turn Nuclear War Into a Betting Game
Key Takeaways
- Polymarket hosted a nuclear weapon detonation betting market during the Iran conflict before deleting it amid controversy
- Prediction market defenders argue these contracts provide valuable probability estimates for emergency planners and policymakers
- Critics say catastrophe markets create perverse incentives and normalize profiting from geopolitical disasters
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DT Editorial Team··4 min read·via mashable.com